In a political landscape gearing up for a potential 2020 rematch, President Biden and former President Trump find themselves in a virtual deadlock nationally and in critical battleground states. This comes from the latest CBS News/YouGov poll, which shows Trump holding a slim lead with 50 percent support nationally among likely voters, compared to Biden’s 49 percent. Conversely, in battleground states, Biden edges out Trump with 50 percent to 49 percent support among likely voters, told CBS News.

Interestingly, Trump’s recent conviction in the New York hush money case seems to have little effect on voter sentiment. The poll reveals that over half of the respondents view the guilty verdict as “not a factor” in deciding their vote. Meanwhile, 28 percent consider it a “major factor,” and 17 percent see it as a “minor factor.” Instead, voters are overwhelmingly concerned with issues such as the economy, inflation, and the state of democracy when casting their ballots.

Among key demographics, Biden appears to have an advantage. He is the preferred candidate for 81 percent of Black likely voters and 54 percent of women. The situation among independents is more evenly split, with 50 percent leaning toward Biden and 48 percent toward Trump.

This tight race is reflected in other polls as well, including The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s national polling average, which positions Trump slightly ahead with 45.5 percent support compared to Biden’s 44.7 percent. These figures underscore the competitive nature of the upcoming electoral showdown.

The CBS News/YouGov poll was conducted from June 5-7, surveying 2,063 U.S. adult residents, including oversamples from pivotal states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The margin of error stands at 3.2 percentage points among all adults and 3.8 points among registered voters. As the political battlefield prepares for the November elections, it is clear that voter focus will likely hinge more on economic and democratic concerns rather than the legal entanglements of candidates.



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